I hate to call up the dead Prussian, but we do have to
remember that Carl—that is Clausewitz—did have a point with his paradoxical
trinity of war. In today's context, wars and conflicts are so much more than
just the threat aspect of circumstances. They entail the threat and the
policies and the social structures and the norms and motives and the whole host
of other things that make up human interaction. Consequently, we find
situations like the challenge with ISIS and Syria and Iraq confusing at best
and mismatched at worst. I will offer two options to think and ponder upon this
weekend.
The first is a great interview session for the podcast, To the Point, with
Warren Olney. The show segment about Iraq
teetering on the brink is very telling as they discuss the recent
demonstration by citizens inside the "green zone." This is an
important and significant event, in my opinion. It is what I would suggest is
an indicator of something. Of what, I am not exactly sure, but it is likely not
to be good in the near term. There is significant potential for serious
instability that could make the fight against ISIS a side show. Listen to
Warren Olney talk with several guests about these recent developments.
To The Point segment: Iraq Teeters on the Brink
In terms of colored zones, we should then think about the
ever present gray zone. The Harvard Humanitarian Initiative has a nice piece
discussing the gray zone, before it became in
vogue in military circles. The piece
by Sven Peterke takes a look at drug wars and “gray zones” from an international
law. This perspective further illustrates the point that conflict is not so
simple. The duality of peace and war seems like a simple construct, but when
you look at international laws, norms, jurisprudence, humanitarian
considerations, and the totality of interactions between states, non-states,
and everything in between, you see that conflicts—wars—are comprehensive
phenomenon.
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