One
of the only consistencies of international political history is that
the consistency of lasting international norms consistently proves to be
inconsistent.
What on earth does that mean? Phrased a more coherent way, the international system continually changes. To help us think a little more about that are three columns from a notable thinker, writer, and opinionist, Thomas L. Friedman.
Now,
I know Friedman is a polarizing figure. Some like him. Some
like his thoughts. Some abhor him. Some think his thoughts are
thoughtless. Therefore,
do not look at what he says strictly for the validity of the content.
Rather, consider the potential for future international arrangements
that look and act differently than they do today. The problem with
international norms and the so-called status quo is
that they are time-space dependent. In the moment of a status quo
period, it is hard to imagine anything but the current normative state.
Prior
to August 1914, the world never imagined that four years later, the
entire international system would
change, especially regarding a shift to formalized collective
institutions and a reorganized Near East, what we now call the Middle
East. Can we imagine an international system that looks and acts
drastically different than it does today, with an E.U., the
current order (or disorder) of the Middle East, prevailing regional
alliances like NATO or ASEAN, etc.? The answer is probably not. The
answer historically, is probably so.
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Thank you for commenting. I appreciate your interest in the topic. It adds a little more to how we understand our world.